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Who We Help

Public Investment Deserves Public Evidence

Governments spend billions on programmes designed to improve lives - housing, health, infrastructure, employment, education, community development. The question is rarely whether the money was spent. The question is whether it worked, for whom, and whether it represents good use of public resources.

SVT produces person-level social value evidence for government programmes and public investments. Not averages standing in for people. Not self-reported satisfaction surveys taken in isolation. The evidence shows who benefited, how the change happened, and how results compare with what would likely have happened without the programme. We are careful and honest about who gains and who does not - so public money can follow the programmes that genuinely help.

The Problem Governments Face

Public programmes operate under increasing pressure to demonstrate results. Traditional evaluation methods often produce:

  • Population averages that hide who actually benefited and who did not
  • Social value topics measured in isolation from one another - one team values one outcome, another values a second, and the results are never reconciled into one joined-up picture
  • Estimates transferred from other jurisdictions that may not apply to Canadian populations or contexts
  • Before-and-after comparisons with no credible "what would have happened anyway" case

The result: cabinet submissions quote numbers that cannot be defended under challenge. Treasury boards approve spending without evidence showing which groups were affected differently. Programmes continue or are cut based on political salience rather than measured outcomes.

What SVT Does for Government

Programme Evaluation

We evaluate whether a programme achieved its intended social outcomes - measured at the person level. Did the intervention improve welfare for the people it reached? By how much? Through what channels? Compared to what would have happened without it?

Cost-Benefit with Social Value Included

Traditional cost-benefit captures market effects. SVT measures the social value - health, security, connection, satisfaction, and hundreds of other topics - across the affected population, set against the cost of the intervention. No double-counting. No reconciliation gap.

Distributional Analysis

Who benefited most? Which populations saw the largest gains? Where were the effects concentrated geographically, demographically, or temporally? Distributional evidence supports equity-informed policy decisions that aggregate totals obscure.

Counterfactual Construction

Every SVT evaluation compares the programme with what would likely have happened to these same people without it. That comparison case is built by the model itself through ONEMODEL - not assumed from a simple comparison group.

Forward-Looking Scenario Modelling

Before committing resources, model the expected social value of proposed interventions. Compare scenarios. Identify which populations are most likely to benefit. Allocate based on projected evidence, not precedent alone.

Applications

Policy DomainWhat SVT Measures
HousingSocial value of affordable housing, tenure security, and rental subsidies for occupants and communities
HealthWellbeing impact of health interventions beyond clinical outcomes - quality of life, caregiver burden, labour-force effects
InfrastructureSocial return on public infrastructure investment - transport, community facilities, regeneration
EmploymentWelfare effects of employment programmes, training, and labour-market interventions
EducationLong-term social value of education investments measured through life-course modelling
Community developmentPerson-level impact of community programmes - arts, sport, social connection, food security

Evidence in Action

CIHR-funded health research is expected to create about $98.2 billion in social value for Canadians over 20 years - part of $171 billion in total expected value, a $5.30 return for every $1 invested.

Source: Expected Economic and Social Impact of CIHR, CANCEA, 2026.

Surety bonding protects up to $9.36 in social value - people's wellbeing - for every $1 of premium on public infrastructure, alongside the jobs it safeguards.

Source: Surety Bonding in Canada, CANCEA, 2025.

Congestion in the GTHA was estimated to cost residents about $34.6 billion in lost wellbeing in 2024 - 77% of the region's total congestion cost. Source: Impact of Congestion in the GTHA and Ontario, CANCEA, 2024.

See Government & Policy Case Studies

The Cost of Deciding Blind

Funds flow to programmes that look effective on outputs but do not change lives - while genuinely effective programmes lose support.

Business cases rest on market effects alone, understating or overstating true social value and leaving decisions open to challenge.

When the public or the auditor asks who actually benefited, you have attendance counts, not evidence.

How to Start

1

Consultation

We assess the programme or investment, identify evaluation questions, and review data availability.

2

Framework design

We define the people, the programme, the "what would have happened anyway" case, and what is counted.

3

Modelling

ONEMODEL estimates how each person's wellbeing changes over time, compared with what would likely have happened without the programme.

4

Reporting

Decision-grade evidence report: headline social value, distributions, channels, sensitivity, limitations.

Common Questions

What is social value in a government context?
Social value is the measurable improvement in citizen welfare - beyond market transactions - that a public programme or investment creates. It includes effects on health, life satisfaction, social connection, financial security, and community participation.
How does SVT's approach differ from traditional cost-benefit analysis?
Traditional cost-benefit often focuses on market effects. SVT adds person-level social value across hundreds of topics - modelled in one connected model and set against the cost of the programme. This prevents double-counting and keeps the full picture joined up.
Can SVT evaluate programmes that have already concluded?
Yes. Looking back, we compare participant outcomes with a comparison case generated by the model. Looking forward (before a programme starts), we can also model the likely outcomes of different options.
What data does SVT need from government?
Programme administrative data, participant characteristics, and outcomes where available. SVT also draws on Canadian population datasets to build the comparison case and calibrate the model. Data readiness is assessed during scoping.
Is this approach compatible with Treasury Board requirements?
SVT's methodology produces evidence suitable for cost-benefit submissions, programme evaluations, and regulatory impact assessments. It aligns with welfare-economic principles underlying government appraisal frameworks.

Need Evidence That Your Programme Works?

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Externally reviewed methodology, developed over 20+ years400+ engagements (CANCEA, 2002-2026)Featured in the ICPM Social Infrastructure Blueprint (2026)